Market Resolution & Settlement
Every prediction market has predefined rules that determine how the final result is resolved.
Always review the market's Resolution Rules before trading.
Resolution Rules
Each market should clearly specify the conditions used to determine the winning outcome.
Depending on the market, this may include:
Market question
Resolution date and time
Resolution source
Exact conditions for YES and NO
Reference price or data source
Treatment of delays, cancellations, or exceptional events
Additional market specific conditions
Example:
Will BTC be above $100,000 at 08:00 UTC on September 30?
The Resolution Rules may specify:
Observation Time
September 30, 08:00 UTC
Resolution Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle close price.
The exact resolution source and observation method are specified in each market's Resolution Rules.
YES Condition
BTC reference price is above $100,000 at the specified observation time.
NO Condition
BTC reference price is at or below $100,000 at the specified observation time.
The market specific Resolution Rules always determine the final outcome.
Market Closing
The trading close time may differ from the time at which the event is officially resolved.
Resolution
After the relevant event has occurred, the market result is determined according to the published Resolution Rules.
Once the final result is confirmed, the market becomes resolved.
Settlement
For a standard binary market:
Position
Market Resolves YES
Market Resolves NO
YES
$1 per share
$0
NO
$0
$1 per share
For a Category Market, shares of the winning outcome settle at $1, while shares of losing outcomes settle at $0.
Settlement is processed automatically after the market is resolved, and settlement proceeds are credited in USDC. No manual claim is required.
Cancelled, Invalid, or Unresolvable Markets
Certain events may become impossible to resolve according to the original market rules.
Examples may include:
Event cancellation
Event postponement
Missing or unavailable data
Ambiguous final results
Failure of the specified resolution source
Incorrect or incomplete market configuration
If a market cannot be resolved normally, it may be cancelled or declared invalid according to its applicable market rules.
The settlement or refund treatment for affected positions will follow the rules specified for that market.
Resolution Source
Markets may rely on external data sources to determine the final result.
For price based crypto markets, this may include a specified price index, exchange price, oracle, or another predefined reference.
For sports markets, this may include an official competition or approved results provider.
The applicable source will be displayed in each market's Resolution Rules.
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